/Leading Investment Bank Begins Tracking Trump’s Tweets

Leading Investment Bank Begins Tracking Trump’s Tweets

JP Morgan has announced the creation of an index to supposedly track the impact of President Trump’s tweets on financial markets.

Of roughly 4,000 Tweets by President Trump posted during market hours, JP Morgan’s “Volfefe Index” shows 146 moved markets (CNBC).

Donald Trump is tweeting more and it’s affecting the bond market.

In fact, the president’s market-moving tweets ballooned in August as he hammered China on trade and went after the Federal Reserve on interest rates.

In an attempt to quantify the impact of Trump’s tweets on the bond market, J.P. Morgan devised a “Volfefe Index” to analyze how the president’s tweets are influencing volatility in U.S. interest rates.

J.P. Morgan found that the index, named after Trump’s infamous and still mysterious “covfefe” tweet, explains a measurable fraction of the moves in implied rate volatility for 2-year and 5-year Treasurys.